January 11, 2005

(Updated) Dance Of The Bridgehead Developers Revisited

Big Box Proposers Continue Their Spin

Note: This post has been updated. Any and all updates appear at the end of the original post.

At the end of December, we offered a look at the rhetorical backpeddling of two of the three potential developers for the Burnside Bridgehead project as it pertains to big box retail.

Our argument then was that it was a new open-mindedness in appearance only, and that their statements to the public and to the evaluation committee did not reflect that they had in reality moved very much in their thinking. Today, a Portland Tribune article tries to convince people that there indeed has been a shift in the thinking of Gerding/Edlen and Opus Northwest.

Unfortunately, the article very much overstates the case, at least if one compares it to what those two teams continue to say in responses to questions from the evaluation committee which have been posted to the development's page on the PDC website.

Gerding/Edlen

"It's critical to create a project that Portlanders will support, and we are hearing loud and clear that they do not want a large-format retailer," said Mark Edlen, manager of the Gerding/Edlen Development Co., which had proposed a Home Depot for its project. "We are prepared to eliminate it if that’s what the PDC decides."

Gerding/Edlen is the toughest developer to grasp on this count, for at least two reasons. First, they do not appear to have yet responded to the evaluation committee's second request for additional information (or at least, the PDC website says they are still awaiting that response). Second, while they have alternatingly described the inclusion of Home Depot in their proposal as either a financial neutral or a financial negative, they have yet to articulate what approach they would take without the retailer as part of their proposal.

As indicated in our previous report on the Bridgehead project, public remarks to date by Gerding/Edlen in the subject of big box retail has focused not on alternatives but on defending Home Depot's approach to building stores in urban centers, suggesting that "if they could do it in Manhattan, they could do it here in Portland".

Where the Gerding/Edlen team currently stands when it comes to what they are telling the committee (as opposed to the press) is difficult to determine without seeing their responses to the committee's second request. At the same time, however, the process has been underway long enough now that if the team is still not offering visions for what they would do without big box in their proposal, we think it would be fair at that point to question whether or not they are taking seriously the opposition to such a retailer.

Opus Northwest

Bruce Wood, a senior director for Opus-Northwest Development, said the same is true of his company, which had proposed anchoring its development with a Lowe's Home Improvement Warehouse.
"We have never been wedded to a big-box retailer," Wood said. "This project has to have the support of the community."

While current judgements of Gerding/Edlen to some extent must await their response to that second round of questions, no such delay is required when it comes to examining the position of Opus Northwest, beginning with their statement to the Tribune above.

However, in the most recent letter of response from Opus to questions from the evaluation committee, Opus is not quite so strident in their recognition of public opposition to big box retail at the site.

"Are you willing to remove the large format urban retailer from your program?" the committee asked. "If so, how would you adjust your program to compensate?" Opus' answer shows far more beating around the bush than the Tribune leads one to believe.

As we have indicated in our initial response and in both of the meetings to date, the answer is yes, however in order for this project to move forward the credit quality of the tenants (or a portion of the tenants) will need to be high enough to obtain reasonable financing. The alternative is to fund the gap with additional equity and/or public subsidy. It is unfortunate this discussion has revolved around big-box vs. local small businesses. May I suggest that a better discussion would center on energy (people working, shopping and living in the project) and credit (the stronger the financial condition the less equity/subsidy required). Succeeding with a project of this scope and complexity requires a balance -- functionally and financially. Having these requirements satisfied via a large-format retailer or some other concept (with credit) that brings people to the center provides the balance of the project to be more flexible in use and financial underwriting. That being said, our team has been contacted by many of the large format retailers, wishing to be included in this project. Most notable of these are Costco and Fred Meyer. It is assumed by the local community that Lowe's would be competitive with the local home improvement merchants. Neither Costco nor Fred Meyer would compete with the local home repair industry. The inclusion of a large format retailer, again, will bring more people into the area which will increase the available public purchase power and create the credit capability necessary to obtain financing. Consideration of these retailers could benefit the entire area. This is a good issue for public discussion, which has started during the selection process.

Where to begin? Firstly, it's very clear from the above that while Opus may be telling the Tribune that they are not wedded to big box and that community support is necessary, they are behaving very differently with the evaluation committee. To the committee, they direct most of their remarks regarding big box retail to a strategic defense of their inclusion of such a retailer in their proposal, and give little indication that they truly are open to an adjustment on that count.

Rather, the Opus team engages in something of an apologia, attempting to convince the committee that it's simply not worth the time and effort trying to find an alternative to big box retail at the site. While they are making statements to the press suggesting that if selected, they will of course change their proposals if need be, their arguments to the committee instead read like a preview of what they would do should they become the developer of choice.

And of course, like Gerding/Edlen, the Opus team still has yet to demonstrate just what sorts of alternatives to big box might feasibly be incorporated into their proposals.

Should we have any confidence in their willingness to dump big box retail if even after all of this public discussion -- and opposition -- they still have yet to present any notion of just how they'd go about the change they profess to the press that they are willing to make? We would suggest that the answer to that question is fairly clearly, "No."

Not to mention that Opus' suggestion that the discussion "started during the selection process" simply is untrue. The discussion has been ongoing since word of the Burnside Bridgehead development first began to attract community attention -- and in fact that community attention is the only reason the request for proposals were drafted in such a way as to make clear that big box retail was not a requirement.

Note how that last bit of reality, regarding the community and the RFP, contradicts the following statement in the Tribune today: "Both developers said they only included the big retailers in their proposals because that’s what the PDC wanted at the time."

What Next?

Even with all of this suggestive evidence that Gerding/Edlen and Opus are being less than up front when they talk to the press, it's important that people keep in mind another aspect of how the proposal process has played out, which we argued in our previous item on the subject.

What needs to get not become lost in all of this dancing around is that only one developer constructed a proposal that in the first instance avoided big box retail and focused on the small, the local, and the character of the district. It's important where these developers went, on their own, right off the bat. It tells us something about whether or not they are suited to the task at hand.

We think that's important to remember even if people come to believe that the two big box teams actually are reconsidering their positions. But, obviously, we don't even believe that they are reconsidering their positions, and we think the examination of their responses to the committee -- rather than their spin to the press -- bears that out.

What's really going on here is that the two big box developers are attempting to give just enough rhetorical ground in order to stay in the running. That would be welcome news if the rhetoric was being matched by the reality of what they are telling the committee, because it would suggest that no matter who is selected for the project, big box retail would be out of the picture.

But, for us anyway, the Gerding/Edlen and Opus statements to the committee demonstrate that they are only trying to remain in the game. If selected, we suggest, they would reassert what they've been telling the committee, and push the approaches they've been presenting all along.

All of that is important to keep firmly in mind as the public process continues to play itself out. That process resumes tomorrow with public presentations of the proposals to the Portland Developent Commission. The evaluation committee is also scheduled to present its findings at that time.

You'll note from the timeline that there also are two points at which aspects of the project come before City Council. While the Council does not have the opportunity to vote on the project itself, at the very least there apparently will have to be a vote on zoning changes which will be required for the project to go forward.

There's some discussion of this over at Jack Bog's Blog, but ultimately the point is this: If PDC itself falls for the spin coming out of Gerding/Edlen and Opus, that likely will be the final opportunity to derail any proposal which includes big box retail.

In the time between now and that August zoning consideration, then, it's vitally important that the community -- and members of City Council opposed to big box at the site -- maintain a recognition that the public statements of two of the three developers appear to be at odds with what they are saying to the evaluation committee. In other words: Don't believe the hype, believe the record.

January 11, 2005

Update

We're being told that Gerding/Edlen's responses to the second round of questions was received by the committee on January 10 and are now available on the website. While the first half may be true, the second half is not. We've pointed that out, and will post another update if its absence is addressed.

But we're also told that the team submitted updated site plans which will also, at some point, be psoted online. No word on what sorts of updates to their proposal are included.

January 11, 2005

Update

This evening, the new set of Gerding/Edlen responses was posted to the PDC website. Unlike the non-progression of the Opus team, they have offered more in the way of what would happen without big box retail.

"At this juncture, based on we heard [sic] from the evaluation committee and the public during the public presentation and open house, as well as our perception of the wider response from the community," Gerding/Edlen wrote to the committee, "we recommend that a large format retailer not be included as part of the Burnside bridgehead Redevelopment Project."

In a revised scenario not involving big box retail, the Gerding/Edlen team suggests instead structured parking where the Home Depot would have been, and additional "work loft" units. In terms of smaller scale businesses, the proposal continues to focus on the "Little Italy" proposal.

While the degrees and exact natures of our respective suspicions differ somewhat, readers may note that this shift by Gerding/Edlen lines up fairly well with what both we and Jack Bogdanski have been saying about the process. While Jack more directly believes that "the fix is in" we instead believe that Gerding/Edlen is trying to position itself to take advantage of institutional intertia -- meaning, if they get "close enough" to the community's concerns, PDC might select them simply because they are the more familiar developer.

On the other hand, our view and Jack's view -- if either of them are correct -- could lead to the same effect in the end.

For now, we'll leave it at this: While the Gerding/Edlen team is going through the motions of supporting the abandonment of big box retail at the site, there are two things all involved parties need to remember. First, only the Beam proposal left out big box retail from the beginning. Second, only the Beam proposal has demonstrated a serious engagement with the possibilities.

The other two teams are left playing (or pretending to play) catch-up, and still are not demonstrating a particular talent for inspiration. They each took the path of least resistance, since including big box retail would dictate the nature of the site, and required the least application of original or inspired thought.

So far, that lack of originality or inspiration has not changed, even with the alleged developer shift away from big box retail. And that's important, because it's not merely about whether or not big box retail is included -- it's about whether the developers are merely going through the motions of design, or instead are diving right into the thick of what might be possible for the site, and for the district.

Gerding/Edlen and Opus represent the former. Beam represents the latter. All the remains now is to see if the evaluation committee, PDC, and the City Council can tell the difference.

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Comments (5)

  1. Jack Bog on 11 Jan 2005

    I still think the fix is in. As I said on dec. 28, watch G/E get the contract, even though the approved plan will look a lot like Beam. As long as the right pockets get lined, the public can have what it wants.

  2. The One True b!X on 11 Jan 2005

    I'm currently agnostic on the subject of an outright fix. However, based upon what's happened thus far, I do tend to suspect that Gerding/Edlen is doing what it can to position itself into a spot where they'll be able to convince PDC that they've addresses the community's concerns, whether or not they actually have.

    That said, I do need to see the most recent material out of Gerding/Edlen, preferably before tomorrow's meeting. To my PDC readers: That's a hint.

  3. Lily on 11 Jan 2005

    So now Gerdling/Edlen recommends a parking lot instead of a Home Depot?? This property lies at the foot of the Burnside Bridge and represents "the Gateway to the Inner SouthEast". Wouldn't it be just like the City to allow a parking structure there?? The location of this project and the development of the parcel will set the tone of the future of the Inner SouthEast. If we have an artist's incubator/Chelsea Market type thing that Maslin includes in the Beam proposal, it could help turn this poor beleagured neighbourhood around.

    Personally, I wouldn't trust PDC Chair Don Maziotti any further than I could throw him. The PDC has gotten used to viewing the urban development funds as an open checkbook with overdraft projection, existing just to funnel monies to the same old developers again and again. It's time to use the money for revitalization, not just development.

  4. John Mulvey on 12 Jan 2005

    One of the most interesting developments here is the growing concern about the project by the City Council, presumably as a result of the strong public opposition. If PDC approves a big box proposal, there would still be MANY individual issues that would have to go through the Bureaus for approval. Mayor Katz had been very close to PDC and the developers and helped ensure that PDC and the City were all (more or less) pulling in the same direction.

    PDC needs to be very careful in approving a proposal where several City Commissioners have raised concerns about it(*). If they pick a fight with the Council they could end up more bruised than they are already. Then again, it wouldn't be the first time PDC has had a deaf ear to politics in this town.

    John

    (* Here's a question for anybody who'd care to weigh in: How much influence will the four Commissioners have over these sorts of decisions --like permitting, transportation planning, code revisions, compliance with sustainable development requirements --now that Mayor Potter is running all the Bureaus?)

  5. The One True b!X on 12 Jan 2005

    Well, if there's Council opposition to whatever PDC approves, it likely won't advance far enough to get past the zoning changes currently marked for Council consideration in August. So even if for some reason Potter still had all bureaus in August (which would be one month beyond the six-month maximum period he's mentioned), that fact wouldn't come into play anyway.